Showing posts with label Tim Beyers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tim Beyers. Show all posts

Monday, May 5, 2014

Motley Fools ask "Can the "King of All Monsters" deliver?

Should you decide to invest in Warner Bros based on Godzilla?
The Motley Fool is mostly a hub for the investment community; they cover investment trends, stocks and securities. They also cover entertainment, albeit with an investment bent, but once in a while the talk comics, TV and Movies. Enter, Tim Beyers.

We've covered Mr. Beyers before, back when he admitted he was wrong about Godzilla. Well he's talking Godzilla again with fellow analyst Nathan Alderman. Read an expert of what they both have to say below or jump to the video below.

Tim says that initial reaction to Godzilla appears to be positive. The movie's style also seems to recall the slow and terrifying reveal of director Gareth Edwards' Monsters, an independent movie that vastly out-earned its modest budget. Vulture quotes Edwards as saying he was also influenced by Jurassic Park, which holds off showing the biggest dinosaurs till more than an hour into the movie.

How that will play with audiences is impossible to know at this point. But initial tracking says we can expect a $60 million debut and $500 million to $600 million in worldwide grosses by the time the movie ends its run in theaters. An impressive -- and likely profitable -- performance if those numbers hold, Tim says.

Nathan says that Warner investors shouldn't expect a massive hit. Last summer's giant monsters vs. giant robots epic, Pacific Rim, had trouble appealing to American audiences. Foreign moviegoers helped push the movie's overall tally to better than $400 million in grosses, yet that probably wasn't enough to produce profits after accounting for marketing, distribution, and revenue sharing with theater operators.
"Can the 'King of All  Monsters' deliver?" 1-Up On Wall Street host Ellen Bowman puts this question to analysts Nathan Alderman and Tim Beyers in the video below.

Friday, February 14, 2014

Journalist Admits He was Wrong About Godzilla's Box Office Chances

Which Film will Dominate 2014? Godzilla or Captain America?

Motley Fool stock picker Tim Beyers was sure that Godzilla was going to be a dud, at least compared to Captain America: Winter Soldier. In fact he went "all in" saying that Captain America was going to crush all the Summer Blockbusters.

Recently, like any good analyst, he has revised his opinion based on new data. Mostly the IGN poll which asked fans, "Which movie are you most excited for in 2014?" Guess which movie won by a longshot? Yep--Godzilla. He also looked at other factors such as YouTube views and web metrics based on mention and general chatter. You can read a portion of his revised article below followed by a video of his full explanation.

In early January, entertainment site IGN published a poll in which Godzilla ranked as the sci-fi movie fans were most excited to see in 2014. Christopher Nolan's Interstellar ranked second at just over 20%. By contrast, among comic book films, Tim's top pick -- Walt Disney's (NYSE: DIS  ) Captain America: The Winter Soldier -- ranked a distant fourth at 13.9% of the vote, trailing The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (14.3%), Guardians of the Galaxy (18.7%), and X-Men: Days of Future Past (35.2%).

What's more, recent Google Trends data shows that Godzilla, co-produced by Legendary Pictures and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX  ) , has enjoyed impressive search volume in the days following a new trailer or other news event. And yet, between the two, Tim still believes the Winter Soldier has an edge.

Why? He cites two reasons. First, a new trailer for the movie has been viewed more than 13 million times in less than two weeks -- a stunning number when you consider that a preview for The Amazing Spider-Man 2 has earned less than 4 million views over the same period.

Second, with an early April release date, the new Captain America gets a month in theaters before the next round of would-be comic book and sci-fi blockbusters reach audiences. The extra space should give the film time to generate momentum, Tim argues, a luxury Godzilla won't have when it launches between the debuts of Spider-Man and Days of Future Past.